UK Vote: Wealth Economic Update June 27, 2016

U.S. and World News

  • london_big-ben_49186880_340The United Kingdom has voted to Leave the European Union in the historic Brexit vote held on Thursday. For more information on this event, please see the special Brexit update here.
  • Acting Brazilian President Michel Temer has authorized a payment of $850 million from the federal government to the state of Rio de Janeiro, which is struggling with a fiscal crisis less than two months before the Olympic Games are slated to begin. This is in addition to fears about the Zika virus and other major public health concerns leading up to the Olympics. Rio declared a state of financial emergency last week as a result of deteriorating finances, which have forced deep cuts to services like education, healthcare and policing.
  • Just a week before $2 billion in bond payments come due, Puerto Rico’s governor Alejandro Garcia Padilla reiterated that the island will default on its general obligations even if services are cut off. Padilla is currently in Washington lobbying for Congressional approval of a bill that would establish the framework for Puerto Rico to restructure its $70 billion in debt.

Markets

  • Equity markets rallied early in the week before dropping dramatically after the results of the Brexit Referendum. The S&P 500 was down -1.62% for the week and closed at 2037. The Dow Jones dropped 1.55% and closed at 17,400. So far in 2016, the S&P is up 0.74% and the Dow is up 1.18%.
  • Interest rates moved lower again this week following the Brexit vote. The 5 year and 10 year U.S. Treasury Notes are now yielding 1.07% and 1.56%, respectively.
  • The spot price of WTI Crude Oil lost 2.04% this week to close at $47.57 per barrel. WTI Crude is up 13.59% in 2016.
  • The spot price of Gold gained 1.32% this week, closing at $1,315.75 per ounce. Year to date, gold prices are up 24.00%.

Economic Data

  • Initial jobless claims came in at 259,000 which was a decrease from last week’s reading of 277,000. The Labor Department noted no special factors in the data. The four week moving average for claims moved down to 267,000.
  • Existing home sales increased by 1.8% in May, which was in line with consensus and reached a new post-crisis high. Single family home sales rose 1.9% in the month, while multi-family sales increased 1.6%. By region, existing home sales rose in the Northeast (+4.1%), South (+4.6%) and West (+5.4%), but fell in the Midwest (-6.5%).

Fact of the Week

  • During the 25 years from 1991 to 2015, the average interest rate on a 10 year US Treasury note was 4.7%. As of close on Friday June 24th, the 10 year US Treasury note had a yield of 1.56%. (Source: Treasury Department)

Please contact a member of the Wealth Management Department if you have any questions about this information.

Rich Gartelmann CFP® – (630) 844-5730 rgartelmann@oldsecond.com
Jean Van Keppel CFA® – (630) 906-5489 jvankeppel@oldsecond.com
Brad Johnson CFA®, CFP® – (630) 906-5545 bjohnson@oldsecond.com
Joel Binder, SVP – (630) 844-6767 jbinder@oldsecond.com
Jacqueline Runnberg CFP® – (630) 966-2462 jrunnberg@oldsecond.com
Ed Gorenz, VP – (630) 906-5467 ejgorenz@oldsecond.com

Visit Old Second Wealth Management

Non-deposit investment products are not insured by the FDIC; not a deposit of, or guaranteed by, the bank; may lose value.

 

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